Estimación de retrasos lógicos de pavimentación en 2022 por restricciones de tráfico del COVID-19 en la ciudad de La Plata, Argentina

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Abstract

Since March 2020, La Plata city (Buenos Aires, Argentina) has registered movement restrictions due
to the COVID-19 pandemic. Because of it, in September 2020, to carry out a prediction study of
what are the logical deadlines in which the paving works could be postponed during the year 2021,
based on data provided by Google. The study is based on the impact that a decrease in traffic would
have on the useful lives of different urban road works (conservation, rehabilitation, and new work
carried out prior to restrictions), both those registered and those predictable by means of a trend
model. The result obtained is useful for municipal authorities, who can thus allocate resources to
other activities of higher priority during that period, without there being a deterioration in the state of
their road network above that which was already admitted prior to the pandemic.
With the advance of time, the most complete series of Google data is available until mid-2021, which
allows to corroborate or adjust the predictions made, seeking to obtain a logical updated value to
defer the works in the first half of 2022. As a relevant result, the interventions can be deferred for
seven months and a half due to the restrictions imposed, optimizing in this way the available
resources.